Thursday 8 November 2012

World Tour Finals - Group B qualification scenarios

Following the success of the scenarios table for Group A qualifications to the World Tour Finals semifinals, here are the scenarios for Group B. Roger Federer already qualified, but he can still finish second in this group under certain circumstances. Janko Tipsarevic is out of the running and cannot qualify, no matter what.


Federer in 2 Federer in 3 Del Potro in 2 Del Potro in 3
Ferrer in 2 1. Federer
2. Ferrer
1. Federer
2. Ferrer
1. Del Potro
2. Federer
1. Federer
2. Del Potro
Ferrer in 3 1. Federer
2. Ferrer
1. Federer
2. Ferrer
1. Del Potro
2. Federer
1. Federer
2. Del Potro
Tipsarevic in 2 1. Federer
2. Del Potro
1. Federer
2. Del Potro
1. Del Potro
2. Federer
1. Del Potro
2. Federer
Tipsarevic in 3 1. Federer
2. Del Potro
1. Federer
2. Del Potro
1. Del Potro
2. Federer
1. Del Potro
2. Federer

This group has much simpler scenarios than the other group:
  • If Federer and Ferrer win, they both qualify (Federer 1st, Ferrer 2nd)
  • If Federer and Tipsarevic win, Federer is 1st and Del Potro is 2nd.
  • If Del Potro wins, he qualifies together with Federer. Del Potro will qualify 1st if he wins in 2, or if he wins in 3 and Tipsarevic wins. Federer will qualify 1st if Del Potro wins in 3 and Ferrer wins.
Note: If a player retires, his opponent is considered as having won 2-0.

    World Tour Finals - Group A qualification scenarios

    The results of the first two days of play in Group A of the ATP World Tour Finals promise us one thing - nothing is certain. Any of the players can qualify for the semifinals, any of the players can be left out. If the calculations are giving you a headache (they most likely are), here are a couple of ways to look at them. Luckily for us, it won't come to counting games, only sets.


    Djokovic in 2 Djokovic in 3 Berdych in 2 Berdych in 3
    Murray in 2 1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    1. Murray
    2. Berdych
    1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    Murray in 3 1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    1. Berdych
    2. Djokovic
    1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    Tsonga in 2 1. Djokovic
    2. Tsonga
    1. Djokovic
    2. Berdych
    1. Berdych
    2. Djokovic
    1. Berdych
    2. Djokovic
    Tsonga in 3 1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    1. Djokovic
    2. Murray
    1. Berdych
    2. Djokovic
    1. Berdych
    2. Djokovic

    So:
    • Djokovic needs to win one set. If he loses in two, he needs Tsonga to take a set.
    • Murray needs to win in 2 if Berdych wins in 2, or to win in any way if Berdych wins in 3, or just needs one set if Djokovic wins.
    • Berdych needs to win in 2, or win in 3 and for Tsonga to win, or to win one set and for Tsonga to win in 2.
    • Tsonga needs to win in 2 and for Djokovic to win in 2.
    See also the possible Group B scenarios.